exposure risk
Can LLMs Help Allocate Public Health Resources? A Case Study on Childhood Lead Testing
Afane, Mohamed, Wang, Ying, Chen, Juntao
Public health agencies face critical challenges in identifying high-risk neighborhoods for childhood lead exposure with limited resources for outreach and intervention programs. To address this, we develop a Priority Score integrating untested children proportions, elevated blood lead prevalence, and public health coverage patterns to support optimized resource allocation decisions across 136 neighborhoods in Chicago, New York City, and Washington, D.C. We leverage these allocation tasks, which require integrating multiple vulnerability indicators and interpreting empirical evidence, to evaluate whether large language models (LLMs) with agentic reasoning and deep research capabilities can effectively allocate public health resources when presented with structured allocation scenarios. LLMs were tasked with distributing 1,000 test kits within each city based on neighborhood vulnerability indicators. Results reveal significant limitations: LLMs frequently overlooked neighborhoods with highest lead prevalence and largest proportions of untested children, such as West Englewood in Chicago, while allocating disproportionate resources to lower-priority areas like Hunts Point in New York City. Overall accuracy averaged 0.46, reaching a maximum of 0.66 with ChatGPT 5 Deep Research. Despite their marketed deep research capabilities, LLMs struggled with fundamental limitations in information retrieval and evidence-based reasoning, frequently citing outdated data and allowing non-empirical narratives about neighborhood conditions to override quantitative vulnerability indicators.
- North America > United States > Illinois > Cook County > Chicago (0.48)
- North America > United States > New York (0.44)
- North America > United States > District of Columbia > Washington (0.27)
- (5 more...)
MOAI: A methodology for evaluating the impact of indoor airflow in the transmission of COVID-19
Oehmichen, Axel, Guitton, Florian, Wahl, Cedric, Foing, Bertrand, Tziamtzis, Damian, Guo, Yike
Epidemiology models play a key role in understanding and responding to the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to build those models, scientists need to understand contributing factors and their relative importance. A large strand of literature has identified the importance of airflow to mitigate droplets and far-field aerosol transmission risks. However, the specific factors contributing to higher or lower contamination in various settings have not been clearly defined and quantified. As part of the MOAI project (https://moaiapp.com), we are developing a privacy-preserving test and trace app to enable infection cluster investigators to get in touch with patients without having to know their identity. This approach allows involving users in the fight against the pandemic by contributing additional information in the form of anonymous research questionnaires. We first describe how the questionnaire was designed, and the synthetic data was generated based on a review we carried out on the latest available literature. We then present a model to evaluate the risk exposition of a user for a given setting. We finally propose a temporal addition to the model to evaluate the risk exposure over time for a given user.
- Information Technology > Security & Privacy (1.00)
- Information Technology > Data Science > Data Mining (1.00)
- Information Technology > Communications (1.00)
- (2 more...)
Proximity matters: Using machine learning and geospatial analytics to reduce COVID-19 exposure risk
Since the earliest days of the COVID-19 pandemic, one of the biggest challenges for health systems has been to gain an understanding of the community spread of this virus and to determine how likely is it that a person walking through the doors of a facility is at a higher risk of being COVID-19 positive. Without adequate access to testing data, health systems early-on were often forced to rely on individuals to answer questions such as whether they had traveled to certain high-risk regions. Even that unreliable method of assessing risk started becoming meaningless as local community spread took hold. Parkland Health & Hospital System, the safety net health system for Dallas County, Texas, and PCCI, a Dallas-based non-profit with expertise in the practical applications of advanced data science and social determinants of health, had a better idea. Community spread of an infectious disease is made possible through physical proximity and density of active carriers and non-infected individuals.